Cappers Buzz

Rushing analysis plays a huge part in my weekly football handicapping process. In this study, I’ll take a look at all positive ypr underdogs that have a net yards per rush advantage of +1.0 or better over a negative rushing opponent. For example if Team A rushes for 4.0 ypr and allows 3.5, it is a net rushing team of +.5ypr. If it’s opponent Team B rushes for 3.0 and allows 4.0 per carry, it’s net rushing is –1.0 ypr. That would give Team A a rushing advantage of +1.5ypr. This study began on the week of 10/14-10/15 as I wanted to get a nice sample size of games to work with. I will exclude all college teams that have played a SIGNIFICANTLY weaker schedule than today’s opponent. Remember, the play- on team has to be a positive rushing team and the play- against team has to be a negative rushing team.

Note: Since the study began, rushing dogs are 21-15-1, including 2-1 last week with the loser being Washington +2 in OT. Remember, Bowl Rushing Dogs include Western Michigan and Penn St.

Pittsburgh (+6) +1 ypr over Cincinnati

Minnesota (+3) +2.2 ypr over St.Louis

Miami (+9) +1.8ypr over Indianapolis