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Alamo Bowl Shocker? (Erik Scheponik)

The Iowa Hawkeyes were the nation’s best ATS team from 2000-2005, logging an incredible 45-21-2$ mark. They started off as a sharp-bettor’s darling, as sound fundamentals, great special team’s play, great play in the trenches, and above all else, phenominal coaching from Kurt Ferentz showed a true undervalued program on the rise. Then, even after the public caught up to them, they continued to cover in 04-05, as it doesn’t take much to look in a preseason annual, and see a 23-6 home favorite mark, a 17-2 DD Fav mark, etc., etc…to help the public jump on board. Well, it all came to a crashing halt this year as the Hawkeyes were a nation’s worst 1-10-1$. The public kept overvaluing them, thinking they would “snap out” of it, but injuries, and disappointment really did their damage to the Hawkeyes, and they never snapped out of it. I think the line has finally adjusted here, and we are still getting that same great coach, and a team that is healthier than it has been in months, takes the field with something to prove. CB Shada, DE Iwebema, RB Young, and most importantly QB Tate all have had time to nurse inuries that caused them to miss time.

Texas has to deal with the loss of ace DC Gene Chizik, and Mack Brown, and although they have too have something to prove here, realize that this is a ton of points to give a team like Iowa. The game is in Texas, yes, but Iowa has a lot of Texas players on it’s roster, including Tate, and San Antonio is not exactly next door from Austin. Statistically, Texas is rather skewed this season as they have made a great bully, but nothing stands out about them against strong competition. In fact, Iowa has both the better offense and defense against bowl caliber competition, and underdogs who fit that bill are 31-16-1$ in bowl play. Several other bowl systems fade the favorite here, and Colt McCoy is playing dinged up. Texas rush D is their strength, but the Hawkeyes go for 235 aand 7.2yppass in the air, and Texas suprisingly allows 7.2yppass. Texas by only 1. PLAY IOWA PLUS THE POINTS!

I have two HUGE packages available for Sat. night for both NFL (Double Play on Skins/Giants Side)and the Chick Fil A Peach Bowl (Side and Total) available at www.cappersgallery.com.  Long-term gridiron and hoops packages also available! 

Posted on Saturday, December 30, 2006 by Registered CommenterErik Scheponik | CommentsPost a Comment

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