Short NFL Fav (Erik Scheponik)
The Jets aren’t going anywhere this season, and I don’t lay points with bad rush offenses in this league too often, but there’s too much line value to pass up here. They actually laid a half point more to Buffalo about 1 month ago, and my power rankings still rate them the better team here, meaning there’s value laying only a field goal at home. The Bills were in an excellent technical spot and put forth a huge effort to spoil Willis Mcgahee’s homecoming, but there may be a letdown here. The week before that they had 3 non-offensive TD’s, and benefitted from 6 turovers against Dallas, yet STILL lost the game. They deserved to be upgraded, but an upgrade of this magnitude is really overdoing it. They have been outyarded in every game this season, including the last 4 by 156 or more yards in each game. Road dogs off of home dogs outright wins are long-time losers in this league, and home favorites off of a loss vs. an opponent off a win are on a 38-26$ since 2005. Jets 60 yards better on offense and 25 yards better on defense. Line too short. Jets by 6
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