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Swimming With The Fishes (Matty B)

If the Dolphins ever want to win a game this year, this is their best shot. They enter off their bye week after playing abroad in London vs. the Giants and they’ve had plenty of time to get over that trip. At 0-8, to say they are desperate wouldn’t even be close. They are beyond desperate and got to believe they’ll be ready to play their best game of the season here. What that is, who knows. Your guess is as good as mine, but I highly doubt they want to be known as the only NFL franchise to have gone winless and unbeaten in a season. Heck, the Dolphins are also in jeopardy of sharing that unbeaten legacy with the Patriots.

Things are still the same for Miami. Cleo Lemon is still the quarterback and the defense still stinks. But looking closer at their schedule tells us some things. They’ve played a brutal slate of opponents at home. The Cowboys, Raiders, Patriots, and Giants are a combined 24-9 straight-up. Take out the only losing team, the Raiders, and the number goes to 22-3. So it should be of no surprise that this team is winless at home. In fact, they were favored by 3 ½ in the Raiders game (lost 35-17) which means they were rated higher than where they are now even after losing to the elite of the league. So in fewer words, the Dolphins look to be a great bargain at this underdog price. Did I just say that? The Dolphins a bargain. Am I nuts? Maybe.

The Bills have been a thorn in many teams side this year. But keep in mind they’ve played every game in the underdog role. They now dress up as a road favorite, and it’s not something they’re too familiar with. Over the last 3 years, this is just the 3rd time they’ve laid points on the road. That’s a span of 19 games, and the 2 times before they did not fare well losing both straight-up. The Bills’ offense leaves a lot to be desired and they simply do not have the firepower to win games on the road by a margin. They don’t win many on the road regardless going just 5-14 the last 3 years. Plus, quarterback J.P. Losman played exceptionally well last week in his comeback, but look for his performance to regress as is often the cycle in such circumstances. Good situation for the Dolphins as they catch the Bills in unfamiliar territory. Play Miami plus the points.

Posted on Sunday, November 11, 2007 by Registered CommenterMatty Baiungo in | CommentsPost a Comment

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