Cappers Buzz

CMU (+8) over Purdue

Going to back the team that is more excited to be here, and that would be the MAC entry, CMU. They were lambasted by Purdue early in the season, but have gotten stronger as the season has progressed under 1st year HC, Butch Jones. Their main weakness this season has been a brutal pass D which has allowed opponents 7.6 yppass, and bowl opponents a brutal 8.7 yppass. Purdue can certainly exploit that weakness, but the good news is that the secondary is as healthy as it’s been in a longtime. Although the MAC was down this year, their bowl representatives are 12-4$ in bowl action off a SU win, and CMU’s win over the MAC’s clear cut #2, Miami (OH) in the league championship was a dominant 35-10 performance. Purdue, as usual, made a great bully this season, but their numbers against the bowl teams on their schdule leave a lot to be desired. Bowl favorites of 7> off a SU Fav loss are 15-34-4$, including 0-2 this season, and that makes sense as their late season loss often causes them to go to a lesser bowl than they previously expected. CMU a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS on this field the last 2 seasons. Purdue by only 4

Note: Purdue has fallen behind their last 6 bowl games by a combined score of 95-0.  With CMU being a little more emotionally charged in front of a home crowd, and most likely wanting to make it a point to not fall behind like they did 38-0 to Purdue the first time, CMU 1Q +.5 -105 or CMU 1Q ML +140  may be worth a look.