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Sunday NFL Tidbits (Erik Scheponik)

-First off, congratulations to the New England Patriots on a truly remarkable season.  They’ve accomplished a record that many of us thought we’d never see.   However with improvement of Jacksonville, and the resurgence of San Diego…It would not shock me to see the Pats upset in the AFC playoffs.

-There simply isn’t any parity in the NFL this season, as illustrated by the fact that for the first time in nearly 30 years, 4 teams started the season at 12-2 or better.  It should make for a very exciting postseason, though, as there are 6 very good teams ranked 95.5 or better in my power rankings, and two just outside of that number, Pittsburgh and the NY Giants that are certainly capable of springing an upset.  

-That lack of parity along with some even worse-than-usual- December weather has lead me to pass on an NFL Game of the Year this season.  There simply wasn’t much to choose from down the stretch.  Normally in week 16, there are 8-10 games that still matter.  There were approximately 4-5 last week.  Normally in week 17, there are about 6-7 games that “really” matter.  This week there are about 2-3.

- Teams that win the turnover battle this season in the NFL are 154-34 SU (82%) and 147-36-5ATS (80%)

Some Quick Sunday Thoughts:

Buffalo at Philly-  Philly may have shot their wad with two big revenge wins the last two weeks over Dallas and New Orleans.  Buffalo mindstate possibly in question as well, after blowing two touchdown lead and falling out of playoff contention at home last wek. 

Carolina at Tampa Bay-  Tampa supposedly sitting everyone, but its still Monte Kiffin against Matt Moore, and there are several quality Last Home Game systems on the Bucs here. 

Pittsburgh at Baltimore-  Steelers really need some confidence heading into the playoffs, and Troy Smith has never seen anything like Dick Lebeau’s blitzes.

Tennessee at Indianpolis-  If Titans fall behind, do they have enough offense to come back regardless of who is in the game for the Colts?  Not interested in laying this number into several tough home dog systems, and a deep Indy team. 

Detroit at Green Bay-  Last week was a fluke, the Pack is for real.  Detroit has allowed 34 or more in 5 of 7 road games this season. 

Good luck and Happy New Year’s, be sure to check out my premium selections at Capper’s Gallery !  Off to a 6-3 start in bowl action (including a DOUBLE PLAY winner on TCU in the Texas Bowl)and went undefeated in last year’s NFL Playoffs!  Tonight’s featured selection is both side and total of the New Orelans/Indianapolis showdown. 

Posted on Sunday, December 30, 2007 by Registered CommenterErik Scheponik in | CommentsPost a Comment

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