Elite 8 Dog (Erik Scheponik)
Louisville (+6) over North Carolina
This venue will continue to help UNC like it has the entire tournament, but realize that Louisville has looked great in this tournament as well, and their damage has come outside of their home state. The Cardinals also come from a tougher conference top-to-bottom, and although their record is nowhere near as impressive as UNC’s, realize that they played through a lot of injuries early on. They hold a sizable defense advantage here (42%-38% FG), and that always makes an attractive underdog, especially when that team also has the firepower and offensive versatility that the Lousivilee possesses. They completely smothered a very good Tennessee team last game, while Carolina, although impressive, benefitted from a lot of wide open WSU misses. Clemson’s pressing style defense took Carolina to the wire 3 times this season, and Pitino’s press is just as if not more dangerous. This is simply too many points for a team with the talent and coaching of Louisville, and we’ll play contrarian here with the public all over the Tar Heels. North Carolina by only 2
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