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Steve Merril's MLB Report (Thursday, July 10)

Below are two free plays for Thursday. You can also get awesome MLB Steamroller Blowout on Steve Merril’s Premium Selections page!

MINNESOTA +110 (Slowey/Rogers) – 1:05 pm ET #963

Minnesota is coming off an embarrassing 18-5 loss yesterday, but they should bounce-back today as they have their best pitcher on the mound. We also get solid line value with the better pitcher at an underdog price as the Twins’ Kevin Slowey has an excellent 3.59 ERA and 1.06 WHIP on the road this season with a remarkable 33-5 strikeout/walk ratio.

Meanwhile, the Tigers past two wins versus the Indians are not that impressive considering Cleveland is currently on a 10-game losing streak, plus the Indians blew 2-0 and 6-0 leads in each game.

CLEVELAND -110 (Laffey/Sonnanstine) – 7:05 pm ET #970

The Indians enter tonight’s game on a 10-game losing streak, however they now qualify in a decent 59% contrarian situation, plus they are still playing hard as they held a 2-0 and 6-0 lead in each of their past two losses.

My pitcher performance ratings also predict a solid bounce-back effort for Cleveland’s starter Aaron Laffey who enters off back-to-back poor outings in which he allowed 9 runs in just 10 innings of work. Despite those poor efforts, he still has a solid 3.49 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in his 13 starts this season, including an excellent 2.15 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at home.

 

Posted on Thursday, July 10, 2008 by Registered CommenterSteve Merril in | CommentsPost a Comment

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