Cappers Buzz

Below is a game for Monday night which presents value based on the fact the oddsmakers and general public have been slow to adjust to each team’s current form.

The +1½ run-line presents extra value in what should be a close and competitive game.

WASHINGTON +1½ -130 (Bergmann/Hudson) – 7:05 pm ET #951

The Braves remain an overrated team after their 24-12 start to the season as they have since gone just 14-26 (.350) in their past forty games. Meanwhile, the Nationals have played better over their past forty games with a solid 23-17 SU record.

There is also no home field advantage tonight as the Braves have been worse at home (19-21) than on the road this season (19-17), while the Nationals have been better on the road (16-20) than at home (16-23).

We also get excellent value with a quality starter like Jason Bergmann at a +1½ run-line price. Bergmann was fantastic in his eight starts this season with a 2.76 ERA and 1.000 WHIP (walks + hits per innings pitched) before going on the disabled list last month. He is now healthy once again and he performed well in his two rehab starts at AAA Columbus on June 15^th and 20^th with a combined 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP.

Meanwhile, Atlanta’s Tim Hudson is in terrible current form with a 2-5 team record and a 6.23 ERA and 1.538 WHIP with a weak 15-13 strikeout/walk ratio over his past seven starts.