Entries from June 1, 2008 - July 1, 2008
Steve Merril's MLB Report (Monday, June 30)
Below is a free Over/Under for Monday night. You can also get a late-night MLB Steamroller Blowout on Steve Merril’s Best Bet Selections page!
UNDER 8 -115 (Athletics/Angels) (Smith/Garland) - 10:05 pm ET #976
The Angels are ice-cold on offense and have scored 0, 0, and 1 run in their past three games. They are likely to struggle again tonight as my pitcher performance ratings predict a solid bounce-back outing from Greg Smith who struggled in his previous start. Smith allowed 4 runs in less than six innings, but still has a strong 3.69 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in his 15 starts this season with a 10-3-2 Under record.
Oakland is also struggling offensively and has scored 0 and 1 run in their past two games. Look for their struggles to continue versus Jon Garland who enters tonight with a solid 4.05 ERA and 9-5-2 Under record in his 16 starts this season.
Steve Merril
Post a Comment
Steve Merril's MLB Report (Tuesday, June 24)
Below is a free MLB play for Tuesday night:
OVER 9½ -110 (Mariners/Mets) (Dickey/Perez) – 7:10 pm ET #967
The Mariners should have plenty of success tonight against Oliver Perez as Seattle has been much stronger versus left-handed pitchers this season, averaging 6.9 runs and batting .275 on the road versus LHP, compared to just 3.2 runs and .235 versus RHP.
Perez is due for a correction after a strong showing in his past three starts as he still has a weak 5.05 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his 15 starts this season with a terrible 65-51 strikeout/walk ratio.
The Mets will be without 3B David Wright tonight, but they should still have plenty of offensive success against R.A. Dickey who remains one of the worst pitchers in the league. Dickey has an awful 5.77 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 11 games this season, and he has been horrendous in his three starts with a 13.49 ERA and 2.65 WHIP.
Steve Merril's MLB Report (Monday, June 9)
Below is a free play in Monday’s night national TV game.
DETROIT -110 (Willis/Lee) – 7:05 pm ET (ESPN) #914
The Tigers are coming off back-to-back wins this weekend and look to win this four-game series tonight. Detroit fits a solid 61% momentum situation, and they have been fantastic this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging 5.7 runs and batting .298 versus LHP, compared to just 4.6 runs and .251 versus RHP.
This success should continue as my pitcher performance ratings predict a below average outing for Cleveland’s Cliff Lee who has pitched well above his career numbers this season. It appears that correction has begun as Lee allowed 6 runs and 9 hits in just five innings his past start and has a terrible 6.11 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in his past three outings.
Steve Merril's MLB Report (Monday, June 2)
Below is a FREE MLB play for Monday night:
BALTIMORE -120 (Guthrie/Wakefield) – 7:05 pm ET #966
The Orioles should avoid the four-game home sweep tonight as they now fit a solid 60% situation. We also get solid value with Jeremy Guthrie as a small home favorite.
Guthrie has been fantastic this season with a 3.64 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his twelve starts. He is in excellent current form with a 2.18 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his past three outings.