Spread Trends - LSU at Miss St (Matty B)
The 2007 college football season kicks-off tonight with 7 games on the board. I have one strong play going tonight, and you can get that spread crusher by clicking the link at the bottom of this piece.
Let’s look at the ESPN game between LSU and Mississippi St. Going inside the numbers shows some telling info with regards to who will cover the spread tonight.
Under Les Miles (who took over in 2005), LSU has been a double digit road favorite 3 times and they’ve covered all 3. They won those games by scores of 37-7, 34-6, and 40-7 for an average final score of 33.3 to 6.6 in favor of LSU.
Under Sylvester Croom (who took over in 2004), Miss St has been a double digit home underdog 9 times going just 1-8 straight-up and 3-6 vs. the spread. The 8 losses came by 29, 14, 13, 30, 17, 34, 28, and 14 points for an average loss of 12.2 to 31.2 points per game.
Combining the above numbers predicts a final score tonight of LSU 32.3 and Miss St 9.4. If the spread patterns hold form, then LSU should get a comfortable win tonight.
Grab my Thursday Night Spread Crusher right now by going to www.cappersgallery.com
Matty Baiungo
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