Steve Merril's MLB Report (Tue. Sept. 25)
Below is a MLB opinion that was not quite strong enough to be an official Best Bet, but it still presents value and is worth a look this evening.
TAMPA BAY +1½ +120 (vs. N.Y. Yankees) – 7:10 pm ET #974
The oddsmakers are continually forced to inflate the lines on teams that are still fighting for a playoff spot and value is often found when playing on underdogs in this situation. This was evident yesterday when the Yankees lost outright as a -235 favorite versus Toronto.
The line is once again inflated in this game and the Devil Rays fit a subset of my Underdog System. The +1½ run line provides extra value with Tampa’s Jason Hammel on the mound. Hammel is in excellent current form with a fantastic 2.35 ERA and 1.130 WHIP (walks + hits per innings pitched) in his past four starts with a powerful 17-4 strikeout/walk ratio.
Meanwhile, Roger Clemens is less than 100% healthy as he missed yesterday’s start in order to further rest his sore hamstring and sore elbow. Clemens remains overrated this season as evident by his weak 5.09 EA on the road in eight starts.
Steve Merril
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